Thursday, June 4, 2009

S&P's commercial real estate revolt

NEW YORK (Fortune) -- Despite near universal criticism of their many missteps during the credit bubble, the ratings agencies aren't irrelevant just yet.
Commercial real estate investors discovered as much last week, when an announcement by Standard & Poor's doused the spring rally in the beaten-down market for commercial mortgage-backed securities, or CMBS.

S&P's move left commercial property investors scratching their heads over the ratings agency's timing. The proposal, in which S&P warned it may soon downgrade hundreds of recent bond issues, could complicate a new federal plan to make financing more available for office buildings, apartment complexes and shopping malls.

Investors also wondered about S&P's change in tone on the prospects for the senior-most commercial real estate-backed debt securities. The ratings agency and its rivals Moody's (MCO) and Fitch have been under fire in Congress for their failure to alert investors to the housing bubble, and some observers wonder if they aren't hastily trying to make amends.
"They've spent 18 months getting raked over the coals for being too lenient, and now they appear to be oversteering," said Steve Jernigan, a director at NewOak Capital, an advisory, asset management and capital markets firm in New York.

S&P says politics aren't influencing ratings actions. "Our ratings are driven only by our best analytical judgment of the creditworthiness of the issuers and securities we rate and are formed independent of other concerns," spokesman Ed Sweeney said in an email. He added that S&P's comments last week reflect its "careful review and analysis of the current CMBS market and our expectations for it going forward." ~ By Colin Barr, senior writer at Fortune.com


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